Welcome back to Beating Vegas! This is the weekly column on NGSCSports.com that helps you gives you the edge over Vegas during the football season! Last season we went just below sixty percent against the spread and this season we’re only looking to help you out even more!
Tulane +17 at Wake Forest
The Green Wave of Tulane are looking at a new head coach in Willie Fritz. There are questions at quarterback and in their defensive secondary but this is a game that will be won and lost at the point of attack. Fritz is a coach that loves smash mouth football and came out of practices raving about all four of his running backs. On the other side of things the Demon Deacons of Wake Forest looked better than their record shows but when watching the tape it’s not as much their effort that kept them in some games, but their opponents lack of effort. Wake Forest is a doormat in the ACC and it’s opponents treat them that way, usually day dreaming their way to a victory. Wake had three wins last year: a three point win over Army, a three point win over Boston College and a 41-3 win over ELON (whoever they are) so seeing them beat a good coach by 17 points is a ridiculous notion. — Last year Tulane covered against Navy, Memphis and Army as road underdogs – this should be no problem.
The Pick: Tulane +17
Georgia Tech -3 at Boston College
This match up features the Yellow Jackets against the Eagles in Dublin, Ireland. Boston College was one of the three college sleepers I wrote about earlier this Summer on NGSCSports.com
and folks should expect to see A LOT of them in “Beating Vegas” this year. . . Paul Johnson has been at Georgia Tech for 19 years now and his time may be coming to an end. Last year they pulled off only three wins, although somehow managing a win against Florida State in there but they could never shut the door on close games. Boston College had the same issue but the reason was a lot more clear. The Boston College defense is a top ten group, but the offense might’ve been the absolute worst. This year they have Kentucky transfer Patrick Towles, who isn’t breaking any records, but should have the ability to stretch the field and add some other dimension to the Eagles’ attack. The Eagles will win about 8 games this year and this will be one of the them.
The Pick: Boston College +3
North Carolina +2.5 at Georgia
Sure, Georgia is loaded with NFL talent and sure Georgia is expected to make some kind of noise. And yes, we all understand this is a new regime, this isn’t the Mark Richt era where “choking” had become tradition. BUT – We’ve heard this story before. Things to expect? Georgia will win. Things not to expect? Georgia’s QB (Grayson Lambert) to all of a sudden look like a possible first-round draft pick. Lambert is limited, the offensive line has been juggled around and this team’s offense is predicated on running back Nick Chubb being 100% at the start of the season. Georgia’s strength is in it’s defense which will be going up against a Tar Heel squad that is no stranger in putting up points. New quarterback Mitch Trubisky has been waiting for his turn and it’s now. He’s got weapons at his disposal and the Tar Heels will not go quietly in this one. This one will be a second half where the Tar Heels get some garbage time touchdowns and make the OVER happen. It’s okay to feel confident in saying the Tar Heels will put up 28 points in a loss to Georgia.
The Pick: The Over at 56
Ole Miss +4.5 at Florida State
Why couldn’t this game be LAST season? It would’ve had better match ups all down the line ups, but this year we get an Ole Miss team that is missing some first round talent and missing a lot of key talent from last year’s squad. Quarterback Chad Kelly has some promise, but he’ll be going up against a Florida State defense that is quick and nasty. The Seminoles are like Alabama in how they recruit now. It doesn’t matter who they lose, they are able to reload quickly. This game is on Monday Night which will be fun, but the Seminoles will be the ones having all the fun. Expect Florida State to ROLL in the second half.
The Pick: Florida State -4.5
If You Must: Kansas State versus Stanford – the Under at 48.5 is the way to go here “if you must.” Two good defenses, Stanford will keep it on the ground, especially with a new quarterback under center, while Kansas State might hang around with tough nose play for at least the first half. Pretty uneventful to watch, so yeah – the under seems legit
4 Game Teaser: Louisville -26.5, Alabama +.5, Florida State +7.5 and UCLA +15
Good Luck and Wager Wisely!